HOW IT WORKS
Branchpoint
primer
Multiverse finance in seven short ideas.
01
One asset becomes two futures
Pick a real event: will there be an interest rate hike? Any financial asset, such as a security, or a cryptoasset like the 1 BTC here, splits into two conditional versions: one that exists if the hike happens, one if it doesn't. Together they're worth exactly your original asset.
02
The market prices each future
A prediction market says the hike is 70% likely, no hike 30%. BTC is worth different amounts in each future: say $90k after a hike, $110k without one. Today's price is just the probability-weighted blend: about $96k.
03
Cash out any time
You never have to wait for the event. Sell 1 BTC ▸ no hike to someone who believes in that future: it's $110k in a world that's 30% likely, so it fetches about $33k of real cash, today.
04
Recombine to undo
Splitting is reversible. Hold the full set, one claim per outcome, and you can recombine it back into the original asset at any time. Nothing created, nothing lost.
05
Trade inside a world
Each future has its own economy. In the hike world you can sell 1 BTC ▸ hike for $100k ▸ hike. Those dollars exist only if the hike happens.
06
Lend and borrow there too
Conditional assets are not just tradeable. They are also collateral. Lend your claim out, borrow against it, and build positions that only exist in the future you believe in.
07
Reality resolves
The event happens. Assets in the realized world become real: $100k ▸ hike settles into $100k of ordinary money. The other world's assets are unrealized: they simply never came to be.
All of it together
Every idea above on one evolving worldline. Scroll to step through it.
Enter the multiverse
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